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Universal Stainless Reports Third Quarter 2007 Results

Oct 23, 2007
Universal Stainless Reports Third Quarter 2007 Results

Universal Stainless Reports Third Quarter 2007 Results

Diluted EPS is $0.81 On Sales of $62 Million

BRIDGEVILLE, Pa., Oct. 23, 2007 -- Universal Stainless & Alloy Products, Inc. (Nasdaq:USAP) reported today that sales for the third quarter of 2007 rose 13% to $62.0 million compared with $55.1 million in the third quarter of 2006. Net income for the 2007 third quarter was $5.5 million, or $0.81 per diluted share, compared with $5.7 million, or $0.86 per diluted share in the third quarter of 2006.

The 2007 third quarter results included a charge of $1.4 million, equivalent to $0.14 per diluted share, for an increase to the Company's LCM (Lower of Cost or Market) reserve, mainly due to a continued decline in nickel prices in the quarter. This was offset by an estimated FIFO (First-In First-Out inventory accounting method) benefit of $1.5 million, equivalent to $0.15 per diluted share, at the Dunkirk segment. The estimated FIFO gain in the third quarter of 2006 was $0.5 million, equivalent to $0.05 per diluted share.

The Company noted that it has adjusted its 2007 estimated annual income tax rate to 34.0% from 35.0% based on the federal and state income tax returns filed in September 2007. The cumulative effect of the estimated change in the annual income tax rate was equivalent to $0.04 per diluted share in the 2007 third quarter. The impact of this change in comparison to the 2006 third quarter was equivalent to $0.06 per diluted share. Net income for the 2006 third quarter has been adjusted for the retrospective application of an accounting pronouncement as detailed in the financial tables.

Sales for the third quarter of 2007 exceeded the Company's forecasted range of $52 million to $57 million and diluted EPS was within the expected range of $0.77 to $0.82.

For the first nine months of 2007, sales rose 22% to $180.3 million and net income increased 27% to $18.1 million, or $2.67 per diluted share, compared to the same period of 2006.

Chairman and CEO Mac McAninch commented: "We are pleased with our performance in the third quarter, which included year-over-year sales growth to each of our end markets, with the exception of petrochemical, where sales rose sequentially. We are benefiting from the ongoing strength of our markets, the capital investments we have continued to make, and our expanded focus on operational improvement and customer satisfaction."

Mr. McAninch continued: "Our progress in the third quarter was achieved despite industry crosscurrents created by the turbulence in the price of nickel and mixed economic indicators. These conditions have led to restrained demand from service centers. Our fourth quarter forecast reflects these conditions, as well as the normal conservative order patterns at year-end."

Mr. McAninch concluded: "As we look to 2008, we remain as positive as ever about the prospects within each of our end markets. We expect aerospace and power generation demand to remain very strong for the next several years. The high price of oil would appear to bode well for petrochemical demand and the heavy equipment market should continue to benefit from global growth. We plan to make further capital investments that will enable us to capitalize on our market opportunities, better serve our customers and drive our growth to new levels."

Segment Review

In the third quarter of 2007, the Universal Stainless & Alloy Products segment had sales of $55.9 million and operating income of $4.2 million, yielding an operating margin of 8%. This included a charge of $772,000 for the aforementioned LCM reserve attributable to the segment. In the third quarter of 2006, sales were $47.2 million and operating income was $4.1 million, or 9% of sales. In the second quarter of 2007, sales were $55.1 million and operating income was $5.8 million, or 11% of sales. This included $1.3 million of costs related to a legal settlement and a portion of an inventory adjustment mainly due to increased LCM reserves resulting from a sharp decline in nickel prices at the end of the second quarter.

The 19% increase in sales from the 2006 third quarter reflected a 30% increase in sales to forgers, a 25% increase in sales of tool steel plate to service centers, and an 82% increase in sales of special shapes to OEMs. It also included a 30% increase in shipments to the Dunkirk operation. Results were aided by the addition of a seventh vacuum-arc remelt (VAR) furnace, which became operational in January of 2007, and by surcharges because of higher nickel prices at the beginning of the quarter. Changes in the price of nickel affected operating margin comparisons with both the third quarter of 2006 and the second quarter of 2007. There was also a shift in product mix compared with the second quarter of 2007, with sales of reroll products up 18%, while sales of bar products to service centers were down 27%.

The Dunkirk Specialty Steel segment reported sales of $21.3 million and operating income of $3.0 million for the third quarter of 2007, resulting in an operating margin of 14%. The operating income included the LCM charge attributable to the segment totaling $635,000, which was more than offset by the estimated $1.5 million FIFO benefit from the timing of surcharges and the changing price of nickel. In the third quarter of 2006, sales were $19.8 million and operating income was $3.8 million, or 19% of sales, and included an estimated FIFO benefit of $0.5 million. In the second quarter of 2007, sales were also $21.3 million, while operating income was $3.7 million, or 17% of sales, and included $492,000 of costs related to the second quarter inventory adjustment attributable to the segment offset by an estimated $1.2 million FIFO benefit.

Dunkirk's 7% increase in sales over the 2006 third quarter included a 27% increase in sales to service centers mainly of bar products, which more than offset lower sales of rod/wire products to redrawers.

The Company noted that it is currently negotiating a new collective bargaining agreement that covers the hourly employees at its Dunkirk facility. The current agreement expires on October 31, 2007.

Business Outlook

The following statements are based on the Company's current expectations. These statements are forward-looking, and actual results may differ materially.

The Company estimates that fourth quarter 2007 sales will range from $45 million to $50 million and that diluted EPS will range from $0.60 to $0.65. This compares with sales of $55.8 million and adjusted diluted EPS of $0.94, in the fourth quarter of 2006.

The following factors were considered in developing these estimates:
 --  The Company's total backlog at September 30, 2007 was
     approximately $88 million compared to $103 million at June 30,
     2007, mainly reflecting the reduced order levels from service
     centers and the effect of lower nickel costs on sales prices.
     These factors also led to lower inventory levels in the third
     quarter of 2007, which had the effect of increasing cash flow
     from operations to a record $15.4 million and free cash flow
     (cash from operations minus capital expenditures) to $11.8
     million, equivalent to $1.75 per diluted share.

 --  The EPS forecast for the fourth quarter of 2007 does not assume
     any FIFO benefit due to the decline in the market value of
     nickel. The FIFO benefit in the fourth quarter of 2006 was
     approximately $1.1 million, equivalent to $0.11 per diluted
     share.

 --  Sales from the Dunkirk Specialty Steel segment are expected to
     approximate $19 million in the fourth quarter of 2007.
Webcast

A simultaneous Webcast of the Company's conference call discussing the third quarter of 2007 and the fourth quarter outlook, scheduled at 10:00 a.m. (Eastern) today, will be available on the Company's website at www.univstainless.com, and thereafter archived on the website. A telephone replay of the conference call will be available beginning at 12:00 noon (Eastern) today and continuing through October 30th. It can be accessed by dialing 706-645-9291, passcode 19618885. This is a toll call.

About Universal Stainless & Alloy Products, Inc.

Universal Stainless & Alloy Products, Inc., headquartered in Bridgeville, Pa., manufactures and markets a broad line of semi-finished and finished specialty steels, including stainless steel, tool steel and certain other alloyed steels. The Company's products are sold to rerollers, forgers, service centers, original equipment manufacturers and wire redrawers. More information is available at www.univstainless.com.

Forward-Looking Information Safe Harbor

Except for historical information contained herein, the statements in this release are forward-looking statements that are made pursuant to the "safe harbor" provision of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that may cause the Company's actual results in future periods to differ materially from forecasted results. Those risks include, among others, risks associated with the receipt, pricing and timing of future customer orders, risks associated with significant fluctuations that may occur in raw material and energy prices, risks associated with the manufacturing process, labor and production yields, risks related to property, plant and equipment, and risks related to the ultimate outcome of the Company's current and future litigation and regulatory matters. Certain of these risks and other risks are described in the Company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) over the last 12 months, copies of which are available from the SEC or may be obtained upon request from the Company.


              UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY PRODUCTS, INC.
                         FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
         (Dollars in thousands, except per share information)
                              (Unaudited)

                 CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF OPERATIONS

                       For the Quarter Ended  For the Nine-Months Ended
                            September 30,            September 30,
                         2007         2006        2007         2006
                         ----         ----        ----         ----
      Net Sales

 Stainless steel       $  45,510   $  41,726   $ 130,208   $ 110,159
 Tool steel                7,281       5,408      20,822      18,645
 High-strength low
  alloy steel              6,006       4,529      19,812      10,322
 High-temperature
  alloy steel              2,637       2,932       7,737       7,045
 Conversion
  services                   446         461       1,427       1,694
 Other                       128          54         297         201
                       ---------   ---------   ---------   ---------

     Total net
      sales               62,008      55,110     180,303     148,066
 Cost of products
  sold                    50,875      42,910     143,337     116,721
 Selling and
  administrative
  expenses                 2,990       3,038       8,951       8,173
                       ---------   ---------   ---------   ---------
     Operating
      income               8,143       9,162      28,015      23,172
 Interest expense           (181)       (275)       (603)       (810)
 Other income                 26           2          36           6
                       ---------   ---------   ---------   ---------
     Income before
      taxes                7,988       8,889      27,448      22,368
 Income tax
  provision                2,521       3,200       9,332       8,052
                       ---------   ---------   ---------   ---------
     Net income        $   5,467   $   5,689   $  18,116   $  14,316
                       =========   =========   =========   =========

 Earnings per
  share - Basic        $    0.82   $    0.88   $    2.73   $    2.23
                       =========   =========   =========   =========
 Earnings per
  share - Diluted      $    0.81   $    0.86   $    2.67   $    2.17
                       =========   =========   =========   =========

 Weighted average
  shares of Common
  Stock outstanding

     Basic             6,656,753   6,443,570   6,640,238   6,429,089
     Diluted           6,783,147   6,615,719   6,772,963   6,597,185

Note: 2006 results have been adjusted to reflect the retrospective application of the January 1, 2007 change in accounting for major maintenance expenses from the accrue-in-advance method to the deferral method in accordance with the FASB Staff Position entitled "Accounting for Planned Major Maintenance Activities," issued in September 2006. The effect of the change in accounting is summarized below:


                      For the Quarter Ended    For the Nine-Months Ended
                        September 30, 2006        September 30, 2006
                    As Reported   As Adjusted  As Reported  As Adjusted
                    -----------   -----------  -----------  -----------

 Operating income:
   Universal Stainless
    & Alloy Products
    Segment              $   4,047   $   4,097   $  14,840   $  15,029
   Dunkirk Specialty
    Steel Segment            3,811       3,763       7,535       7,549
   Intersegment
    elimination              1,302       1,302         594         594
                         ---------   ---------   ---------   ---------
                         $   9,160   $   9,162   $  22,969   $  23,172
                         =========   =========   =========   =========

 Net income              $   5,688   $   5,689   $  14,186   $  14,316
                         =========   =========   =========   =========

 Diluted earnings
  per share              $    0.86   $    0.86   $    2.15   $    2.17
                         =========   =========   =========   =========


                            BUSINESS SEGMENT RESULTS

 Universal Stainless & Alloy Products Segment

                       For the Quarter Ended  For the Nine-Months Ended
                             September 30,           September 30,
                         2007           2006     2007           2006
                         ----           ----     ----           ----
      Net Sales

 Stainless steel       $  31,211   $  28,342   $  87,011   $  74,353
 Tool steel                6,748       4,852      19,018      17,466
 High-strength low
  alloy steel              2,560       2,107      10,382       5,036
 High-temperature
  alloy steel              1,207         931       3,353       2,690
 Conversion services         305         321         957       1,243
 Other                       107          39         229         151
                       ---------   ---------   ---------   ---------
                          42,138      36,592     120,950     100,939
 Intersegment             13,797      10,599      38,244      31,089
                       ---------   ---------   ---------   ---------

     Total net sales      55,935      47,191     159,194     132,028
 Material cost of
  sales                   32,170      24,055      83,085      61,809
 Operation cost of
  sales                   17,506      16,915      52,556      49,511
 Selling and
  administrative
  expenses                 2,022       2,124       6,311       5,679
                       ---------   ---------   ---------   ---------

     Operating
      income           $   4,237   $   4,097   $  17,242   $  15,029
                       =========   =========   =========   =========

 Dunkirk Specialty Steel Segment

                       For the Quarter Ended  For the Nine-Months Ended
                            September 30,          September 30,
                         2007          2006       2007        2006
                         ----          ----       ----        ----
      Net Sales

 Stainless steel       $  14,299   $  13,384   $  43,197   $  35,806
 Tool steel                  533         556       1,804       1,179
 High-strength low
  alloy steel              3,446       2,422       9,430       5,286
 High-temperature
  alloy steel              1,430       2,001       4,384       4,355
 Conversion services         141         140         470         451
 Other                        21          15          68          50
                       ---------   ---------   ---------   ---------
                          19,870      18,518      59,353      47,127
 Intersegment              1,398       1,317       3,676       2,874
                       ---------   ---------   ---------   ---------

     Total net sales      21,268      19,835      63,029      50,001
 Material cost of
  sales                   13,130      10,847      36,374      27,756
 Operation cost of
  sales                    4,145       4,311      13,451      12,202
 Selling and
  administrative
  expenses                   968         914       2,640       2,494
                       ---------   ---------   ---------   ---------

     Operating
      income           $   3,025   $   3,763   $  10,564   $   7,549
                       =========   =========   =========   =========


                           MARKET SEGMENT INFORMATION

                       For the Quarter Ended  For the Nine-Months Ended
                             September 30,           September 30,
                         2007           2006      2007         2006
                         ----           ----      ----         ----
     Net Sales

 Service centers      $   31,451   $  26,394   $  93,154   $  75,750
 Forgers                  13,852      10,614      40,170      25,035
 Rerollers                10,199       9,856      26,049      25,080
 Original equipment
  manufacturers            4,452       4,421      13,869      13,976
 Wire redrawers            1,424       3,310       5,337       6,330
 Conversion services         446         461       1,427       1,694
 Other                       184          54         297         201
                       ---------   ---------   ---------   ---------
     Total net sales   $  62,008   $  55,110   $ 180,303   $ 148,066
                       =========   =========   =========   =========
 Tons shipped             11,372      13,636      33,856      38,421
                       =========   =========   =========   =========


                           CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEET

                                           September 30,  December 31,
                                                2007          2006
                                                ----          ----
      Assets

 Cash                                         $   8,130      $   2,909
 Accounts receivable, net                        39,285         33,308
 Inventory                                       62,949         66,019
 Deferred taxes                                   3,004          1,544
 Other current assets                             1,928          1,606
                                              ---------      ---------

     Total current assets                       115,296        105,386
 Property, plant & equipment, net                52,888         49,251
 Other assets                                       629            584
                                              ---------      ---------

   Total assets                               $ 168,813      $ 155,221
                                              =========      =========

    Liabilities and Stockholders' Equity

 Trade accounts payable                       $  13,675      $  13,123
 Outstanding checks in excess of bank
  balance                                         3,791          3,427
 Accrued employment costs                         5,893          4,121
 Current portion of long-term debt                2,380          2,364
 Other current liabilities                        1,479          1,902
                                              ---------      ---------
   Total current liabilities                     27,218         24,937
 Bank revolver                                       --          8,392
 Long-term debt                                   7,049          8,836
 Deferred taxes                                   9,493          8,402
                                              ---------      ---------
   Total liabilities                             43,760         50,567
 Stockholders' equity                           125,053        104,654
                                              ---------      ---------

   Total liabilities and
    stockholders' equity                      $ 168,813      $ 155,221
                                              =========      =========

              CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF CASH FLOW DATA
            For the Nine-month Period Ended September 30,

                                                   2007         2006
                                                   ----         ----
 Cash flows provided by operating activities:
  Net income                                     $ 18,116     $ 14,316
  Adjustments to reconcile to net cash
   provided by operating activities:
    Depreciation and amortization                   2,764        2,460
    Deferred tax decrease                            (448)        (806)
    Stock based compensation expense                  332          193
    Excess tax benefits from share-based
     payment arrangements                            (976)        (179)
  Changes in assets and liabilities:
    Accounts receivable, net                       (5,977)      (9,821)
    Inventory                                       3,070      (12,057)
    Trade accounts payable                            552        5,766
    Deferred revenue                                  207        2,498
    Accrued employment costs                        1,772        1,961
    Other, net                                         86        1,177
                                                 --------     --------
 Cash flow provided by operating
  activities                                       19,498        5,508
                                                 --------     --------
 Cash flow used in investing activities:
  Capital expenditures                             (6,429)      (5,587)
                                                 --------     --------
 Cash flow used in investing activities            (6,429)      (5,587)
                                                 --------     --------
 Cash flows used in financing activities:
  Revolving credit net repayments                  (8,392)       1,036
  Long-term debt repayments                        (1,771)        (914)
  Net change in outstanding checks in
   excess of bank balance                             364         (554)
  Proceeds from issuance of common
   stock                                              975          326
  Excess tax benefits from share-based
   payment arrangements                               976          179
                                                 --------     --------
 Cash flow (used in) provided by
  financing activities                             (7,848)          73
                                                 --------     --------
    Net cash flow                                $  5,221     $     (6)
                                                 ========     ========
CONTACT:  Universal Stainless & Alloy Products, Inc.
          Richard M. Ubinger, Vice President of Finance,
           Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer
          (412) 257-7606

          Comm-Partners LLC
          June Filingeri, President
          (203) 972-0186