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Universal Stainless Reports 2008 Third Quarter Results in Line With Revised Forecast

Oct 23, 2008
Universal Stainless Reports 2008 Third Quarter Results in Line With Revised Forecast

Universal Stainless Reports 2008 Third Quarter Results in Line With Revised Forecast

BRIDGEVILLE, Pa., Oct. 23, 2008 -- Universal Stainless & Alloy Products, Inc. (Nasdaq:USAP) reported today that sales for the third quarter of 2008 were $57.6 million compared with $62.0 million in the third quarter of 2007. Net income for the third quarter of 2008 was $2.7 million, or $0.40 per diluted share, and included a charge of $586,000, equivalent to $0.06 per diluted share, for the relocation of the Company's round bar finishing line from its Bridgeville facility to its Dunkirk facility. In the third quarter of 2007, net income was $5.5 million, or $0.81 per diluted share. The results for the third quarter of 2008 were in line with the Company's revised forecast of sales in the range of $57 to $58 million and diluted EPS in the range of $0.35 to $0.40.

The Company's estimated annual effective income tax rate for 2008 was adjusted to 32% at September 30 from 33% at June 30 as a result of current income expectations for the year. The benefit of this rate change was equivalent to $0.03 per diluted share in the 2008 third quarter.

For the first nine months of 2008, sales were $178.0 million while net income was $12.7 million, or $1.87 per diluted share, compared with sales of $180.3 million and net income of $18.1 million, or $2.67 per diluted share, in the same period of 2007.

Cash flow from operations was $6.9 million for the third quarter of 2008, a $2.2 million increase from the 2008 second quarter, as the Company continues to manage working capital aggressively. Capital expenditures for the third quarter of 2008 were $4.2 million, and included completion of a new high temperature annealing facility as well as certain planned infrastructure investments and equipment upgrades related to the round bar finishing line in Dunkirk.

President and CEO Dennis Oates commented: "As we previously reported, our third quarter performance was impeded by reduced demand for aerospace grades of steel due to the Boeing labor situation, by conservative service center purchasing in anticipation of lower surcharges due to falling commodity prices, and by production inefficiencies at our Bridgeville facility during labor negotiations. The resulting lower shipment volume combined with a 20% decline in raw material prices that decreased margins on finished products shipped reduced our third quarter earnings. With our success in reaching a five-year collective bargaining agreement with our Bridgeville hourly employees on October 8th, we are ready to face the challenges that continue in the specialty steel supply chain as well as new ones created by the recent shocks to our economy."

Mr. Oates continued: "The diversity of our end markets is an important asset that will help us offset the issues in aerospace demand that are expected to continue at least through the end of the year. Our backlog confirms that our most immediate opportunities are in power generation and in tool steel where we have a strong market position. We also plan to build upon the inroads we have made into the oil and gas markets and on the international relationships we have begun to establish."

Mr. Oates concluded: "In this time of heightened uncertainty, we will remain fully focused on executing our plan, with our highest priority on improving customer service levels and our operating efficiency."

Segment Review

For the third quarter of 2008, the Universal Stainless & Alloy Products segment had sales of $52.2 million and operating income of $3.3 million, yielding an operating margin of 6%. Favorable product mix shifts in inventory at September 30 more than offset further declines in nickel and other commodity prices in the quarter and resulted in a net decrease in the lower of cost or market (LCM) reserve of $300,000. In the third quarter of 2007, sales were $55.9 million and operating income was $4.3 million, or 8% of sales. This included an increase to the LCM reserve of $772,000. In the second quarter of 2008, sales were $53.1 million and operating income was $5.6 million, or 11% of sales, and included a $1.2 million charge to the LCM reserve primarily related to the decline in nickel prices at the end of the quarter.

Segment sales were down 7% from the third quarter of 2007 primarily due to a 6% decline in tons shipped and lower surcharges. Higher shipments of tool steel plate to service centers were offset by lower shipments of aerospace-related vacuum-arc remelted (VAR) products to service centers and to Dunkirk. This mix shift, as well as an increase in material costs as a percentage of sales, reduced the operating margin compared with the 2007 third quarter.

Segment sales decreased 2% over the second quarter of 2008 even though tons shipped were level. This was due to lower shipments of aerospace-related VAR products and of tool steel plate to service centers offset by higher shipments to forgers. The resulting shift in product mix and higher material costs as a percentage of sales reduced the operating margin sequentially.

The Dunkirk Specialty Steel segment reported sales of $16.9 million and an operating loss of $172,000 for the third quarter of 2008, including the $586,000 charge for the relocation of the round bar finishing line. Before giving effect to the relocation charge, Dunkirk's operating income was $414,000 for the third quarter of 2008, resulting in an operating margin of 2%. The operating results for the quarter also include a $416,000 increase to the segment's LCM reserve. In the third quarter of 2007, sales were $21.3 million and operating income was $3.0 million, or 14% of sales, which included an increase to the LCM reserve of $635,000, which was more than offset by an estimated FIFO benefit of $1.5 million from the timing of surcharges and the changing price of nickel. In the second quarter of 2008, sales were $21.2 million and operating income of $2.1 million for the second quarter of 2008, or 10% of sales, and included a $259,000 charge to the LCM reserve.

Dunkirk's sales declined 20% while tons shipped decreased 16% compared with the third quarter of 2007 mainly due to lower shipments of aerospace-related VAR finished bar products to service centers and lower surcharges. The lower shipment volume, shift in product mix and the effect of the inventory charge led to the operating margin decline in the third quarter of 2008.

Dunkirk's sales decreased 20% and tons shipped decreased 21% compared with the second quarter of 2008 due to lower shipments of aerospace-related VAR finished bar products to both service centers and OEMs.

Business Outlook

The Company currently estimates that sales for the fourth quarter of 2008 will range from $45 to $55 million and that diluted EPS will range from $0.20 to $0.35, which includes the remaining expense, equivalent to $0.02 per diluted share, for the relocation of the round bar finishing facility. In the fourth quarter of 2007, sales were $49.6 million and diluted EPS was $0.65, and included other income from the receipt of import duties equivalent to $0.06 per diluted share.

The following factors were considered in developing the estimates for the fourth quarter of 2008:
  *  The Company's total backlog at September 30, 2008 was $101
     million compared with $97 million at June 30, 2008.  The
     increased backlog is primarily attributable to tool steel
     plate and electro-slag remelted products.

  *  The Company's forecast is based on average September raw
     material costs.  The Company noted that raw material costs
     have continued to decline since the end of the third quarter.
     The forecast also does not include any receipts from import
     duties for 2008, which the Company is seeking.

  *  Sales from the Dunkirk Specialty Steel segment are expected
     to approximate $10 to 12 million in the fourth quarter of
     2008 on lower pounds shipped compared with the fourth quarter
     of 2007 due to the effect of the Boeing labor situation on
     demand for aerospace products and very conservative buying
     patterns of service centers.  At the forecasted sales levels,
     Dunkirk is expected to be breakeven for the quarter after
     including the remaining expense related to the relocation
     of the round bar finishing line.

  *  The Company reached a new five-year collective bargaining
     agreement with its hourly employees at its Bridgeville
     facility on October 8.  The Company is fully focused on
     resuming production levels, which were adversely affected
     during labor negotiations, to meet its customer commitments.
Webcast

A simultaneous Webcast of the Company's conference call discussing the third quarter of 2008 and the fourth quarter outlook, scheduled at 10:00 a.m. (Eastern) today, will be available on the Company's website at www.univstainless.com, and thereafter archived on the website.

About Universal Stainless & Alloy Products, Inc.

Universal Stainless & Alloy Products, Inc., headquartered in Bridgeville, Pa., manufactures and markets a broad line of semi-finished and finished specialty steels, including stainless steel, tool steel and certain other alloyed steels. The Company's products are sold to rerollers, forgers, service centers, original equipment manufacturers and wire redrawers. More information is available at www.univstainless.com.

Forward-Looking Information Safe Harbor

Except for historical information contained herein, the statements in this release are forward-looking statements that are made pursuant to the "safe harbor" provision of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that may cause the Company's actual results in future periods to differ materially from forecasted results. Those risks include, among others, risks associated with the receipt, pricing and timing of future customer orders, risks associated with significant fluctuations that may occur in raw material and energy prices, risks associated with the manufacturing process, labor and production yields, risks related to property, plant and equipment, and risks related to the ultimate outcome of the Company's current and future litigation and regulatory matters. The Company's actual results in future periods also may be impacted by various economic and market risk and uncertainties, many of which are beyond the Company's control. Certain of these risks and other risks are described in the Company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) over the last 12 months, copies of which are available from the SEC or may be obtained upon request from the Company.


              UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY PRODUCTS, INC.
                         FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
         (Dollars in thousands, except per share information)
                              (Unaudited)

                 CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF OPERATIONS

                          For the                    For the Nine-
                       Quarter Ended                 Months Ended
                       September 30,                September 30,
                     2008         2007            2008         2007
                    -------      -------        --------     --------
    Net Sales

 Stainless steel    $42,095      $45,510        $127,883     $130,208
 Tool steel          10,393        7,281          31,159       20,822
 High-strength
  low alloy steel     2,564        6,006           9,509       19,812
 High-temperature
  alloy steel         1,763        2,637           6,253        7,737
 Conversion
  services              541          446           1,514        1,427
 Other                  283          128           1,648          297
                    -------      -------        --------     --------
   Total net sales   57,639       62,008         177,966      180,303
 Cost of products
  sold               51,040       50,875         150,837      143,337
 Selling and
  administrative
  expenses            2,852        2,990           8,561        8,951
                    -------      -------        --------     --------
   Operating income   3,747        8,143          18,568       28,015
 Interest expense       (26)        (181)            (81)        (603)
 Other income            68           26             217           36
                    -------      -------        --------     --------
   Income before
    taxes             3,789        7,988          18,704       27,448
 Income tax
  provision           1,063        2,521           5,985        9,332
                    -------      -------        --------     --------
   Net income       $ 2,726      $ 5,467        $ 12,719     $ 18,116
                    =======      =======        ========     ========
 Earnings per
  share - Basic     $  0.41      $  0.82        $   1.90     $   2.73
                    =======      =======        ========     ========
 Earnings per
  share - Diluted   $  0.40      $  0.81        $   1.87     $   2.67
                    =======      =======        ========     ========

 Weighted average
  shares of
  Common Stock
  outstanding
   Basic          6,727,677    6,656,753       6,699,471    6,640,238
   Diluted        6,832,070    6,783,147       6,807,699    6,772,963


                      MARKET SEGMENT INFORMATION

                     For the Quarter Ended   For the Nine-Months Ended
                         September 30,             September 30,
                       2008         2007        2008          2007
                     --------     --------    ---------     ---------
    Net Sales

 Service centers     $ 26,826     $ 31,451    $  89,910     $  93,154
 Forgers               14,299       13,852       34,459        40,170
 Rerollers              9,532       10,199       30,011        26,049
 Original equipment
  manufacturers         3,751        4,452       14,987        13,869
 Wire redrawers         2,406        1,424        5,467         5,337
 Conversion services      541          446        1,514         1,427
 Other                    284          184        1,618           297
                     --------     --------    ---------     ---------
   Total net sales   $ 57,639     $ 62,008    $ 177,966     $ 180,303
                     ========     ========    =========     =========
 Tons shipped          10,808       11,372       33,998        33,856
                     ========     ========    =========     =========


                       BUSINESS SEGMENT RESULTS

 Universal Stainless & Alloy Products Segment

                              For the               For the Nine-
                           Quarter Ended            Months Ended
                           September 30,            September 30,
                         2008        2007        2008         2007
                       --------    --------    ---------    ---------
    Net Sales

 Stainless steel       $ 29,168    $ 31,211    $  85,379    $  87,011
 Tool steel              10,161       6,748       29,863       19,018
 High-strength low
  alloy steel               729       2,560        2,956       10,382
 High-temperature
  alloy steel               818       1,207        2,316        3,353
 Conversion services        329         305          982          957
 Other                      252         107        1,524          229
                       --------    --------    ---------    ---------
                         41,457      42,138      123,020      120,950
 Intersegment            10,777      13,797       30,504       38,244
                       --------    --------    ---------    ---------
   Total net sales       52,234      55,935      153,524      159,194
 Material cost of
  sales                  30,722      32,170       82,715       83,085
 Operation cost of
  sales                  16,314      17,506       51,040       52,556
 Selling and
  administrative
  expenses                1,933       2,022        5,940        6,311
                       --------    --------    ---------    ---------
   Operating income    $  3,265    $  4,237    $  13,829    $  17,242
                       ========    ========    =========    =========


 Dunkirk Specialty Steel Segment

                            For the                   For the
                         Quarter Ended            Nine-Months Ended
                         September 30,              September 30,
                       2008          2007         2008         2007
                     --------      --------     --------     --------

    Net Sales

 Stainless steel     $ 12,926      $ 14,299     $ 42,503     $ 43,197
 Tool steel               232           533        1,296        1,804
 High-strength low
  alloy steel           1,835         3,446        6,553        9,430
 High-temperature
  alloy steel             945         1,430        3,937        4,384
 Conversion services      212           141          532          470
 Other                     32            21          125           68
                     --------      --------     --------     --------
                       16,182        19,870       54,946       59,353
 Intersegment             758         1,398        3,220        3,676
                     --------      --------     --------     --------
   Total net sales     16,940        21,268       58,166       63,029
 Material cost of
  sales                11,219        13,130       36,184       36,374
 Operation cost of
  sales                 4,974         4,145       14,622       13,451
 Selling and
  administrative
  expenses                919           968        2,621        2,640
                     --------      --------     --------     --------
   Operating income
    (loss)           $   (172)     $  3,025     $  4,739     $ 10,564
                     ========      ========     ========     ========


                      CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEET

                                     September 30,       December 31,
                                         2008               2007
                                       ---------          ---------
        Assets

 Cash                                  $  13,598          $  10,648
 Accounts receivable, net                 33,867             27,501
 Inventory                                70,424             65,572
 Other current assets                      6,008              5,537
                                       ---------          ---------
    Total current assets                 123,897            109,258
 Property, plant & equipment, net         60,503             54,271
 Other assets                                980                767
                                       ---------          ---------
    Total assets                       $ 185,380          $ 164,296
                                       =========          =========


   Liabilities and Stockholders' Equity

 Trade accounts payable                $  21,881          $  13,983
 Outstanding checks in excess of
  bank balance                             1,785              2,064
 Accrued employment costs                  4,964              5,307
 Current portion of long-term debt           400                383
 Other current liabilities                   423              1,600
                                       ---------          ---------
    Total current liabilities             29,453             23,337
 Long-term debt                            1,146              1,453
 Deferred taxes                           10,612              9,904
                                       ---------          ---------
    Total liabilities                     41,211             34,694
 Stockholders' equity                    144,169            129,602
                                       ---------          ---------
    Total liabilities and
     stockholders' equity              $ 185,380          $ 164,296
                                       =========          =========


               CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF CASH FLOW DATA

             For the Nine-month Period Ended September 30,

                                                 2008          2007
                                               --------      --------
 Cash flows provided by operating activities:
   Net income                                  $ 12,719      $ 18,116
   Adjustments to reconcile to net
    cash provided by operating activities:
     Depreciation and amortization                3,030         2,764
     Deferred tax decrease                          191          (448)
     Stock based compensation expense               591           332
     Tax benefit from share-based
      payment arrangements                         (534)         (976)
   Changes in assets and liabilities:
     Accounts receivable, net                    (6,366)       (5,977)
     Inventory                                   (4,852)        3,070
     Trade accounts payable                       7,898           552
     Accrued employment costs                      (343)        1,772
     Other, net                                    (487)          293
                                               --------      --------
 Cash flow provided by operating
  activities                                     11,847        19,498
                                               --------      --------
 Cash flow used in investing activities:
   Capital expenditures                          (9,585)       (6,429)
                                               --------      --------
 Cash flow used in investing activities          (9,585)       (6,429)
                                               --------      --------
 Cash flows used in financing activities:
   Revolving credit net repayments                   --        (8,392)
   Long-term debt repayments                       (290)       (1,771)
   Net change in outstanding checks in
    excess of bank balance                         (279)          364
   Proceeds from issuance of common stock           723           975
   Tax benefit from share-based payment
    arrangements                                    534           976
                                               --------      --------
 Cash flow (used in) provided by financing
   activities                                       688        (7,848)
                                               --------      --------
   Net cash flow                               $  2,950      $  5,221
                                               ========      ========
CONTACT:  Universal Stainless & Alloy Products, Inc.
          Richard M. Ubinger, Vice President of Finance,
           Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer
          (412) 257-7606
         
          Comm-Partners LLC
          June Filingeri, President
          (203) 972-0186